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    What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices?

    What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | MyKCM

    Last week, a very well-respected real estate analytics firm surprised many with their home price projection for the next twelve months. CoreLogic, in their latest Home Price Index said:

    “The economic downturn that started in March 2020 is predicted to cause a 6.6% drop in the HPI by May 2021, which would be the first decrease in annual home prices in over 9 years.”

    The forecast was surprising as it was strikingly different than any other projection by major analysts. Six of the other eight forecasts call for appreciation, and the two who project depreciation indicate it will be one percent or less.

    What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | MyKCM

    Here is a graph showing all of the projections:There’s a simple formula to determine the future price of any item: calculate the supply of that item in ratio to the demand for that item. In housing right now, demand far exceeds supply. Last week mortgage applications to buy a home were 33% higher than they were at the same time last year. The available inventory of homes for sale is 31% lower than it was last year. Normally, these numbers should call for homes to continue to appreciate.

    Bottom Line

    Because of the uncertainty with the pandemic, any economic prediction is extremely difficult. However, looking at the limited supply of homes for sale and the tremendous demand for housing, it is difficult to disagree with the majority of analysts who are calling for price appreciation.

    Posted in: Housing Market, Real Estate

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    About Austin Properties Group

    Every single member of our staff lives and breathes Austin, Texas. Truly, we wouldn’t want to be doing this anywhere else. We love our city, and we want you to fall in love with it too. We work with the Texas spirit of hospitality in mind. We are not happy until you are happy. Whatever your request, big or small, we will work with you until you are completely satisfied. Why will every member of Austin Properties Group make every effort humanly possible to ensure your real estate goals are achieved? Because we really care. We care about this city and we care about you. We want you to feel at home in Austin as soon as possible. We are a unique firm and we are proud to be a part of keeping Austin weird.

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    Austin Properties Group
    (512) 222-3015

    1801 S. Mopac, Ste 100
    Austin, Texas 78746

    info@austinpg.com
    (512) 222-3015
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