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    How Low Inventory May Impact the Housing Market This Fall

    How Low Inventory May Impact the Housing Market This Fall | Austin Properties Group

    Real estate continues to be called the ‘bright spot’ in the current economy, but there’s one thing that may hold the housing market back from achieving its full potential this year: the lack of homes for sale.

    Buyers are actively searching for and purchasing homes, looking to capitalize on today’s historically low interest rates, but there just aren’t enough houses for sale to meet that growing need. Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, explains:

    “Mortgage rates have hit another record low due to a late summer slowdown in the economic recovery…These low rates have ignited robust purchase demand activity…However, heading into the fall it will be difficult to sustain the growth momentum in purchases because the lack of supply is already exhibiting a constraint on sales activity.”

    According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), right now, unsold inventory sits at a 3.1-month supply at the current sales pace. To have a balanced market where there are enough homes for sale to meet buyer demand, the market needs inventory for 6 months. Today, we’re nowhere near where that number needs to be. If the trend continues, it will get even harder to find homes to purchase this fall, and that may slow down potential buyers. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at realtor.com, notes:

    “The overall lack of sustained new listings growth could put a dent in fall home sales despite high interest from home shoppers, because new listings are key to home sales.”

    How Low Inventory May Impact the Housing Market This Fall | Austin Properties Group

    The realtor.com Weekly Recovery Report keeps an eye on the number of listings coming into the market (houses available for sale) and the total number of listings staying in the market compared to the previous year (See graph below):Buyers are clearly scooping up homes faster than they’re being put up for sale. The number of total listings (the orange line) continues to decline even as new listings (the blue line) are coming to the market. Why? Javier Vivas, Director of Economic Research at realtor.com, notes:

    “The post-pandemic period has brought a record number of homebuyers back into the market, but it’s also failed to bring a consistent number of sellers back. Homes are selling faster, and sales are still on an upward trend, but rapidly disappearing inventory also means more home shoppers are being priced out. If we don’t see material improvement to supply in the next few weeks, we could see the number of transactions begin to dwindle again even as the lineup of buyers continues to grow.”

    Does this mean it’s a good time to sell?

    Yes. If you’re thinking about selling your house, this fall is a great time to make it happen. There are plenty of buyers looking for homes to purchase because they want to take advantage of low-interest rates. Realtors are also reporting an average of 3 offers per house and an increase in bidding wars, meaning the demand is there and the opportunity to sell for the most favorable terms is in your favor as a seller.

    Bottom Line

    If you’re considering selling your house, this is the perfect time to connect so we can talk about how you can benefit from the market trends in our local area.

    Posted in: Buying a Home, Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate, Selling a Home

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    About Austin Properties Group

    Every single member of our staff lives and breathes Austin, Texas. Truly, we wouldn’t want to be doing this anywhere else. We love our city, and we want you to fall in love with it too. We work with the Texas spirit of hospitality in mind. We are not happy until you are happy. Whatever your request, big or small, we will work with you until you are completely satisfied. Why will every member of Austin Properties Group make every effort humanly possible to ensure your real estate goals are achieved? Because we really care. We care about this city and we care about you. We want you to feel at home in Austin as soon as possible. We are a unique firm and we are proud to be a part of keeping Austin weird.

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    Austin Properties Group
    (512) 222-3015

    1801 S. Mopac, Ste 100
    Austin, Texas 78746

    info@austinpg.com
    (512) 222-3015
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